--- title: "5% Talon case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Talon ($50.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.73% over 198 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon rendered: 2026-11-13T00:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Talon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Talon A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon?window=all) Price · $50.00 · 100 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.73% · 198 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 198 openings · below min 30 days · 198 openings · below min since tracking started · 198 openings · below min -0.5% 82.5% 165.5% **Small sample.** 198 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon?window=24h) | 24 | 43.12% ±58.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon?window=7d) | 198 | 84.73% ±80.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon) | 198 | 84.73% ±80.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-talon?window=all) | 198 | 84.73% ±80.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $2,782 5,564 coins 55.64x 2026-11-11 02:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $2,782 5,564 coins 55.64x 2026-11-11 02:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $754 1,507 coins 15.07x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-talon) [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 22:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $259 517 coins 5.17x 2026-11-12 22:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,782 (55.64x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.73 on average: an expected loss of $15.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt