--- title: "5% Upgrader case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Upgrader ($1.30) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 107.47% over 762 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader rendered: 2026-11-13T00:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5% Upgrader](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5% Upgrader A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader?window=all) Price · $1.30 · 2.59 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 107.47% · 762 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 614 openings · below min 30 days · 762 openings · below min since tracking started · 762 openings · below min 7.5% 148.3% 289.0% **Small sample.** 762 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader?window=24h) | 48 | 148.23% ±140.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader?window=7d) | 614 | 104.38% ±33.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader) | 762 | 107.47% ±30.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-upgrader?window=all) | 762 | 107.47% ±30.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5-upgrader) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:22 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [otern](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/otern) $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:22 UTC [P250 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins $23.04 46.07 coins 17.79x 2026-11-13 00:17 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1.30 2.59 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 107.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $107.47 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt