--- title: "5%%%%% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5%%%%% ($5.33) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 26.99% over 53 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5 rendered: 2026-11-12T14:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5%%%%%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5%%%%% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5?window=all) Price · $5.33 · 10.66 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 26.99% · 53 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 33 openings · below min 30 days · 53 openings · below min since tracking started · 53 openings · below min -0.5% 114.3% 229.0% **Small sample.** 53 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5?window=24h) | 18 | 77.79% ±150.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5?window=7d) | 33 | 42.83% ±82.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5) | 53 | 26.99% ±51.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5?window=all) | 53 | 26.99% ±51.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5) [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:46 UTC [Nova | Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-predator-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:46 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:46 UTC [Nova | Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-predator-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:15 UTC [Nova | Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-predator-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:15 UTC [Nova | Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-predator-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 05:15 UTC [Nova | Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-predator-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:48 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $73.83 148 coins 13.85x 2026-11-12 03:48 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:48 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $5.33 10.66 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 27.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $26.99 on average: an expected loss of $73.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt