---
title: "50 Cent case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "50 Cent ($0.26) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.27% from 24 items with odds, observed 77.94% over 9,552 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [50 Cent](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 50 Cent

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent?window=all)

Price · $0.26 · 0.52 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.27% · EV $0.23 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.94% · 9,552 openings, odds method

Variance · 331.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 57.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.89% ±108.06 1,089 openings

7 days · 78.19% ±38.03 8,790 openings

30 days · 77.94% ±36.49 9,552 openings

since tracking started · 77.94% ±36.49 9,552 openings

-0.5% 96.5% 193.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent?window=24h) | 1,089 | 84.89% ±108.1 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent?window=7d) | 8,790 | 78.19% ±38.0 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent) | 9,552 | 77.94% ±36.5 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/50-cent?window=all) | 9,552 | 77.94% ±36.5 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,560 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,371 2,743 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $331 661 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $157 314 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $60.81 122 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $51.39 103 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $40.95 81.9 coins | 1.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $35.95 71.89 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $12.42 24.84 coins | 1.3% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $3.47 6.94 coins | 0.7% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.26× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3.00 5.99 coins | 1.3% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 345 | $1.31 2.61 coins | 1.6% | 37 | 27.7 | 1.33× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1.26 2.52 coins | 2.7% | 51 | 47.8 | 1.07× |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $0.83 1.66 coins | 3.6% | 86 | 95.6 | 0.90× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $0.51 1.02 coins | 2.2% | 87 | 95.6 | 0.91× |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.38 0.76 coins | 24.6% | 1,408 | 1434.0 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.28 0.57 coins | 30.7% | 2,434 | 2390.0 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.09 0.18 coins | 3.9% | 933 | 956.0 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.09 0.17 coins | 3.7% | 952 | 956.0 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.07 0.14 coins | 3.0% | 1,010 | 956.0 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.07 0.13 coins | 2.0% | 666 | 669.2 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.06 0.11 coins | 1.2% | 426 | 478.0 | 0.89× |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.04 0.07 coins | 0.8% | 486 | 478.0 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.3% | 507 | 478.0 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.2% | 458 | 478.0 | 0.96× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $40.95 81.9 coins 157.5x 2026-11-05 18:15 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $35.95 71.89 coins 138.3x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=50-cent)

[AUG | Condemned (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-factory-new) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.38 0.76 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[AUG | Condemned (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-factory-new) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.38 0.76 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-field-tested) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.28 0.57 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Glock-18 | Winterized (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-field-tested) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[AUG | Condemned (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-factory-new) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.38 0.76 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-field-tested) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.28 0.57 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $0.26 0.52 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.07 0.13 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-field-tested) Hidden $0.26 0.52 coins $0.28 0.57 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.26 | 89.27% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.0% covert 0.1% Ancient 0.0% restricted 0.1% industrial 5.3% #8847ff 0.5% #4b69ff 41.0% mil spec 16.0% #87c7ff 15.0% light blue 10.0% Rare 12.0% best hit $40.95 (157.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.27 on average: an expected loss of $10.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt