--- title: "5%lilniggy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5%lilniggy ($31.66) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 109.24% over 1,142 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy rendered: 2026-11-11T22:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [5%lilniggy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 5%lilniggy A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy?window=all) Price · $31.66 · 63.32 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 109.24% · 1,142 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 134 openings · below min 7 days · 109.34% ±36.91 1,110 openings 30 days · 109.24% ±36.12 1,142 openings since tracking started · 109.24% ±36.12 1,142 openings 2.5% 98.5% 194.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy?window=24h) | 134 | 98.57% ±95.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy?window=7d) | 1,110 | 109.34% ±36.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy) | 1,142 | 109.24% ±36.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5lilniggy?window=all) | 1,142 | 109.24% ±36.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $2,730 5,460 coins 86.22x 2026-11-09 06:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-11 05:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-11 05:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-10 00:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-10 00:21 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-10 00:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-09 06:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-09 05:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-09 05:17 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $1,353 2,706 coins 42.74x 2026-11-09 01:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=5lilniggy) [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) [Bilboref](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Bilboref) $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $31.66 63.32 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,730 (86.22x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 109.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $109.24 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt