--- title: "6% Shadow case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "6% Shadow ($12.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.62% over 304 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow rendered: 2026-11-13T04:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [6% Shadow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 6% Shadow A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow?window=all) Price · $12.50 · 25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.62% · 304 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 304 openings · below min 30 days · 304 openings · below min since tracking started · 304 openings · below min -0.5% 138.0% 276.5% **Small sample.** 304 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow?window=24h) | 32 | 129.26% ±146.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow?window=7d) | 304 | 95.62% ±47.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow) | 304 | 95.62% ±47.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/6-shadow?window=all) | 304 | 95.62% ±47.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $506 1,012 coins 40.46x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=6-shadow) [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $125 251 coins 10.02x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:56 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:04 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 19:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $506 (40.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.62 on average: an expected loss of $4.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt