--- title: "Aether case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Aether ($24.55) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 79.84% over 221 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Aether](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Aether A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether?window=all) Price · $24.55 · 49.09 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $22.09 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.84% · 221 openings, odds method Variance · 12.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 13 openings · below min 7 days · 84.16% ±47.66 205 openings 30 days · 79.84% ±45.91 221 openings since tracking started · 79.84% ±45.91 221 openings -0.5% 111.8% 224.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether?window=24h) | 13 | 34.29% ±189.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether?window=7d) | 205 | 84.16% ±47.7 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether) | 221 | 79.84% ±45.9 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aether?window=all) | 221 | 79.84% ±45.9 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 221 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,592 3,184 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,405 2,810 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $1,031 2,061 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $885 1,770 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $571 1,141 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $465 930 coins | 10.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $394 789 coins | 17.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 50 | $201 402 coins | 18.2% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.36× | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| Sage Spray (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-sage-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $65.10 130 coins | 8.8% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $45.21 90.41 coins | 8.2% | 10 | 8.8 | 1.13× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 12.0% | $32.09 64.17 coins | 17.4% | 30 | 26.5 | 1.13× | | [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 77.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 165 | 170.2 | 0.97× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=aether) [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $24.55 49.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $24.55 49.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $24.55 49.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $24.55 49.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $24.55 49.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $24.55 49.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) Hidden $24.55 49.09 coins $45.21 90.41 coins 1.84x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $24.55 49.09 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) Hidden $24.55 49.09 coins $32.09 64.17 coins 1.31x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $24.55 49.09 coins $32.09 64.17 coins 1.31x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $24.55 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.1% gold 0.1% covert knife 0.1% Knives 0.3% other 0.5% consumer 3.0% extraordinary 4.0% classified 12.0% #4b69ff 77.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt