--- title: "Aidens All In case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Aidens All In ($76.05) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 14 items with odds, observed 76.36% over 472 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in rendered: 2026-11-11T22:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Aidens All In](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Aidens All In A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in?window=all) Price · $76.05 · 152 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $68.44 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.36% · 472 openings, odds method Variance · 8.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72 openings · below min 7 days · 81.79% ±44.50 168 openings 30 days · 76.36% ±26.55 472 openings since tracking started · 76.36% ±26.55 472 openings 36.5% 115.0% 193.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in?window=24h) | 72 | 124.71% ±68.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in?window=7d) | 168 | 81.79% ±44.5 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in) | 472 | 76.36% ±26.5 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aidens-all-in?window=all) | 472 | 76.36% ±26.5 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 496 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $9,355 18,710 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $8,338 16,675 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,198 8,395 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,746 7,492 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,250 | $3,377 6,753 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 667 | $1,237 2,473 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 333 | $1,138 2,277 coins | 5.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34× | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $954 1,908 coins | 7.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 45 | $885 1,770 coins | 28.5% | 9 | 10.9 | 0.82× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $835 1,669 coins | 12.2% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.21× | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $151 302 coins | 11.0% | 20 | 24.8 | 0.81× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $137 274 coins | 6.0% | 15 | 14.9 | 1.01× | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 15.0% | $99.37 199 coins | 21.8% | 64 | 74.4 | 0.86× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 72.7% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 378 | 360.8 | 1.05× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $1,138 2,277 coins 14.97x 2026-11-03 21:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $1,138 2,277 coins 14.97x 2026-11-03 21:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [kvaki](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kvaki) $76.05 152 coins $954 1,908 coins 12.55x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $954 1,908 coins 12.55x 2026-11-06 09:53 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $885 1,770 coins 11.64x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [kvaki](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kvaki) $76.05 152 coins $885 1,770 coins 11.64x 2026-11-11 16:22 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $885 1,770 coins 11.64x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $885 1,770 coins 11.64x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $885 1,770 coins 11.64x 2026-11-03 01:08 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $885 1,770 coins 11.64x 2026-11-03 01:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=aidens-all-in) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $76.05 152 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $76.05 152 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $76.05 152 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $76.05 152 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $76.05 152 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $76.05 152 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $99.37 199 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $885 1,770 coins 11.64x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) Hidden $76.05 152 coins $99.37 199 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $76.05 152 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $76.05 | 89.99% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.8% extraordinary 3.0% Covert 0.5% classified 20.0% consumer 72.7% best hit $1,138 (14.97x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt