--- title: "Aim Bot case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Aim Bot ($91.84) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 102.86% over 1,080 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Aim Bot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Aim Bot A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot?window=all) Price · $91.84 · 184 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $82.65 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.86% · 1,080 openings, odds method Variance · 14.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 116.46% ±42.27 314 openings 30 days · 102.86% ±22.79 1,080 openings since tracking started · 102.86% ±22.79 1,080 openings 73.5% 116.5% 159.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot?window=7d) | 314 | 116.46% ±42.3 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot) | 1,080 | 102.86% ±22.8 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aim-bot?window=all) | 1,080 | 102.86% ±22.8 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,080 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $2,955 5,910 coins | 35.8% | 13 | 10.8 | 1.20× | | [Souvenir SG 553 \| Integrale (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-integrale-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,296 2,593 coins | 31.4% | 31 | 21.6 | 1.44× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $501 1,002 coins | 18.2% | 21 | 32.4 | 0.65× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Night Ops (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $226 452 coins | 8.2% | 31 | 32.4 | 0.96× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 15.0% | $16.67 33.34 coins | 3.0% | 171 | 162.0 | 1.06× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 15.0% | $8.01 16.02 coins | 1.5% | 148 | 162.0 | 0.91× | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) | 30.0% | $3.50 7 coins | 1.3% | 354 | 324.0 | 1.09× | | [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 31.0% | $2.01 4.01 coins | 0.8% | 311 | 334.8 | 0.93× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-10 12:24 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-07 10:56 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-06 13:37 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-06 13:34 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-05 20:05 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-05 12:45 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-04 04:16 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-04 04:15 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-04 03:56 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-04 03:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=aim-bot) [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2,955 5,910 coins 32.17x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $3.50 7 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $3.50 7 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $16.67 33.34 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $91.84 184 coins $8.01 16.02 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:23 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $3.50 7 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $91.84 184 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $91.84 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 1.0% classified 17.0% Covert 3.0% mil spec 3.0% covert 15.0% #4b69ff 30.0% #777777 31.0% best hit $2,955 (32.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt