--- title: "AK 50-50 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AK 50-50 ($61.11) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 61.92% over 28 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [AK 50-50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · AK 50-50 A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50?window=all) Price · $61.11 · 122 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $55.00 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 61.92% · 28 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 28 openings · below min since tracking started · 28 openings · below min 29.5% 62.0% 94.5% **Small sample.** 28 openings and 9.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50?window=7d) | 28 | 61.92% ±31.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50) | 28 | 61.92% ±31.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-50-50?window=all) | 28 | 61.92% ±31.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $157 314 coins | 14.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 15.0% | $115 229 coins | 31.3% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 15.0% | $98.06 196 coins | 26.7% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.19× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 15.0% | $86.27 173 coins | 23.5% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× | | [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) | 15.0% | $6.27 12.54 coins | 1.7% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.22 10.44 coins | 1.4% | 10 | 4.2 | 2.38× | | [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.12 6.23 coins | 0.8% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× | | [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.87 3.73 coins | 0.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.43× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ak-50-50) [AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $61.11 122 coins $3.12 6.23 coins 0.05x 2026-11-05 12:46 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $61.11 122 coins $86.27 173 coins 1.41x 2026-11-05 12:46 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $61.11 122 coins $5.22 10.44 coins 0.09x 2026-11-05 12:46 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) [raka12k](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/raka12k) $61.11 122 coins $5.22 10.44 coins 0.09x 2026-11-05 12:46 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) Hidden $61.11 122 coins $115 229 coins 1.88x 2026-11-05 01:03 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $61.11 122 coins $5.22 10.44 coins 0.09x 2026-11-05 01:03 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $61.11 122 coins $5.22 10.44 coins 0.09x 2026-11-05 01:03 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $61.11 122 coins $5.22 10.44 coins 0.09x 2026-11-05 01:03 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $61.11 122 coins $1.87 3.73 coins 0.03x 2026-11-05 01:03 UTC [AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) [BrokeCalls](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BrokeCalls) $61.11 122 coins $3.12 6.23 coins 0.05x 2026-11-05 01:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $61.11 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 50.0% restricted 30.0% mil spec 15.0% industrial 5.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt