---
title: "AK Ornaments case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "AK Ornaments ($10.32) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 16 items with odds, observed 76.96% over 282 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [AK Ornaments](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · AK Ornaments

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments?window=all)

Price · $10.32 · 20.63 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $9.28 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.96% · 282 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 48 openings · below min

7 days · 72.59% ±26.47 251 openings

30 days · 76.96% ±24.97 282 openings

since tracking started · 76.96% ±24.97 282 openings

4.5% 65.8% 127.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments?window=24h) | 48 | 65.74% ±60.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments?window=7d) | 251 | 72.59% ±26.5 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments) | 282 | 76.96% ±25.0 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ak-ornaments?window=all) | 282 | 76.96% ±25.0 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 282 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $115 229 coins | 12.4% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $91.57 183 coins | 9.9% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $86.84 174 coins | 9.4% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $86.27 173 coins | 9.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $82.97 166 coins | 8.9% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $60.81 122 coins | 6.6% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $47.87 95.74 coins | 10.3% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $46.41 92.81 coins | 10.0% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $9.61 19.22 coins | 6.2% | 11 | 16.9 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $7.18 14.36 coins | 4.6% | 20 | 16.9 | 1.18× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $5.22 10.44 coins | 3.4% | 18 | 16.9 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $5.10 10.2 coins | 3.3% | 22 | 16.9 | 1.30× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $3.99 7.98 coins | 2.6% | 14 | 16.9 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $2.17 4.34 coins | 1.9% | 16 | 22.6 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.07 2.13 coins | 1.1% | 31 | 28.2 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 42.0% | $0.04 0.08 coins | 0.2% | 125 | 118.4 | 1.06× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ak-ornaments)

[AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $91.57 183 coins 8.88x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $1.07 2.13 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $10.32 20.63 coins $3.99 7.98 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $5.22 10.44 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) Hidden $10.32 20.63 coins $2.17 4.34 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.32 | 89.97% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 10.0% other 1.0% classified 7.0% Ancient 2.0% industrial 8.0% restricted 6.0% Legendary 6.0% Mythical 18.0% Uncommon 42.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt