--- title: "ALICE 1% LAS VEGAS case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ALICE 1% LAS VEGAS ($25.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.36% over 1,778 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas rendered: 2026-11-12T11:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [ALICE 1% LAS VEGAS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · ALICE 1% LAS VEGAS A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas?window=all) Price · $25.00 · 50 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.36% · 1,778 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 248 openings · below min 7 days · 98.95% ±60.44 1,250 openings 30 days · 88.36% ±46.65 1,778 openings since tracking started · 88.36% ±46.65 1,778 openings 38.0% 234.8% 431.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas?window=24h) | 248 | 240.52% ±190.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas?window=7d) | 1,250 | 98.95% ±60.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas) | 1,778 | 88.36% ±46.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/alice-1-las-vegas?window=all) | 1,778 | 88.36% ±46.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $6,181 12,362 coins 247.2x 2026-11-06 00:33 UTC [Sticker | suNny (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,528 5,057 coins 101.1x 2026-11-12 00:05 UTC [Sticker | suNny (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,528 5,057 coins 101.1x 2026-11-11 23:34 UTC [Sticker | suNny (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,528 5,057 coins 101.1x 2026-11-11 23:31 UTC [Sticker | suNny (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,528 5,057 coins 101.1x 2026-11-06 05:39 UTC [Sticker | suNny (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,528 5,057 coins 101.1x 2026-11-03 10:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 97.63x 2026-11-12 10:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 97.63x 2026-11-12 10:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 97.63x 2026-11-11 23:27 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 97.63x 2026-11-11 00:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=alice-1-las-vegas) [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) [wannagambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/wannagambles) $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:25 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:14 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 50 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,181 (247.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.36 on average: an expected loss of $11.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt