---
title: "Anubis case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Anubis ($2.75) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 16 items with odds, observed 111.25% over 4,466 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Anubis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Anubis

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis?window=all)

Price · $2.75 · 5.5 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $2.47 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 111.25% · 4,466 openings, odds method

Variance · 128.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 57 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 274 openings · below min

7 days · 92.59% ±39.09 3,226 openings

30 days · 111.25% ±33.22 4,466 openings

since tracking started · 111.25% ±33.22 4,466 openings

17.0% 151.8% 286.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis?window=24h) | 274 | 151.71% ±134.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis?window=7d) | 3,226 | 92.59% ±39.1 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis) | 4,466 | 111.25% ±33.2 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis?window=all) | 4,466 | 111.25% ±33.2 | +1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,466 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,813 5,625 coins | 11.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $502 1,004 coins | 10.1% | 5 | 2.2 | 2.24× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $133 266 coins | 5.4% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.90× |
| [P90 \| Run and Hide (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-run-and-hide-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $128 256 coins | 5.2% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× |
| [Souvenir Nova \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $51.43 103 coins | 10.4% | 23 | 22.3 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $25.41 50.82 coins | 10.3% | 44 | 44.7 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $11.04 22.07 coins | 11.2% | 122 | 111.7 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.10 10.2 coins | 10.3% | 204 | 223.3 | 0.91× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $3.28 6.56 coins | 8.0% | 259 | 268.0 | 0.97× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $2.18 4.36 coins | 5.3% | 280 | 268.0 | 1.04× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $1.27 2.53 coins | 3.1% | 270 | 268.0 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.04 2.08 coins | 2.5% | 259 | 268.0 | 0.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-factory-new) | 12.0% | $0.65 1.3 coins | 3.2% | 548 | 535.9 | 1.02× |
| [Charm \| Lil' SAS charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sas) | 12.0% | $0.50 1 coins | 2.4% | 578 | 535.9 | 1.08× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.17 0.33 coins | 1.3% | 874 | 893.2 | 0.98× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 22.7% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 993 | 1015.6 | 0.98× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $2,813 5,625 coins 1,023x 2026-11-04 06:03 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $502 1,004 coins 182.5x 2026-11-10 15:15 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $502 1,004 coins 182.5x 2026-11-10 06:58 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $502 1,004 coins 182.5x 2026-11-08 22:51 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $502 1,004 coins 182.5x 2026-11-08 14:22 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $502 1,004 coins 182.5x 2026-11-04 07:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=anubis)

[M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $25.41 50.82 coins 9.24x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $5.10 10.2 coins 1.85x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $0.17 0.33 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $51.43 103 coins 18.70x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $2.18 4.36 coins 0.79x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-field-tested) [meowmeoww](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/meowmeoww) $2.75 5.5 coins $1.27 2.53 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $1.04 2.08 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $0.17 0.33 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $0.17 0.33 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $2.75 5.5 coins $0.65 1.3 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.75 | 89.94% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% covert knife 0.1% pink 0.1% other 0.5% restricted 29.5% classified 11.0% Mythical 6.0% blue 6.0% #4b69ff 46.7% best hit $2,813 (1,023x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt