--- title: "Aqua Juicer case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Aqua Juicer ($122.27) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 96.65% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer rendered: 2026-11-12T01:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Aqua Juicer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Aqua Juicer A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer?window=all) Price · $122.27 · 245 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $110.04 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.65% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 48.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 52.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 114.0% 228.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer) | 6 | 96.65% ±131.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aqua-juicer?window=all) | 6 | 96.65% ±131.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 20,000 | $12.1K 24,151 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20,000 | $10.6K 21,246 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 20,000 | $10.4K 20,866 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $754 1,507 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $501 1,002 coins | 4.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $458 917 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $371 742 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Night (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $287 573 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $264 527 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 42.0% | $188 376 coins | 71.7% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 10.4% | $5.17 10.34 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 10.4% | $5.13 10.26 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 10.4% | $5.10 10.2 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) | 10.4% | $5.04 10.08 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-field-tested) | 10.4% | $5.02 10.04 coins | 0.5% | 2 | 0.6 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $122 245 coins $501 1,002 coins 4.10x 2026-11-04 17:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=aqua-juicer) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $122 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 45.0% contraband 0.0% #EB4B4B 1.0% Covert 1.0% gold 1.0% classified 41.6% mil spec 10.4% best hit $501 (4.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt