--- title: "Astro Cache case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Astro Cache ($9.35) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 102.88% over 635 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Astro Cache](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Astro Cache A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache?window=all) Price · $9.35 · 18.7 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $8.41 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.88% · 635 openings, odds method Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 105.36% ±28.52 256 openings 7 days · 102.52% ±18.69 596 openings 30 days · 102.88% ±18.11 635 openings since tracking started · 102.88% ±18.11 635 openings 76.0% 105.3% 134.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache?window=24h) | 256 | 105.36% ±28.5 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache?window=7d) | 596 | 102.52% ±18.7 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache) | 635 | 102.88% ±18.1 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/astro-cache?window=all) | 635 | 102.88% ±18.1 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 647 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $144 289 coins | 8.6% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.55× | | [Charm \| Hot Sauce charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-sauce) | 1 in 200 | $139 278 coins | 8.3% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $134 268 coins | 8.0% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.55× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $129 258 coins | 7.7% | 7 | 3.2 | 2.16× | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $61.60 123 coins | 7.3% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.62× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $59.52 119 coins | 7.1% | 12 | 6.5 | 1.85× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $56.72 113 coins | 6.7% | 9 | 6.5 | 1.39× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $50.58 101 coins | 6.0% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.62× | | [Charm \| Lil' Ava charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ava) | 1 in 50 | $28.13 56.25 coins | 6.7% | 13 | 12.9 | 1.00× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $18.99 37.97 coins | 5.1% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.10× | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $14.60 29.19 coins | 5.2% | 22 | 19.4 | 1.13× | | [M249 \| Shipping Forecast (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-shipping-forecast-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $12.53 25.05 coins | 4.5% | 12 | 19.4 | 0.62× | | [Charm \| Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) | 1 in 20 | $8.00 16 coins | 4.8% | 33 | 32.4 | 1.02× | | [P90 \| Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) | 78.8% | $1.52 3.04 coins | 14.2% | 504 | 509.5 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=astro-cache) [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) [Apex5887](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Apex5887) $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $50.58 101 coins 5.41x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:12 UTC [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:06 UTC [P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-verdant-growth-factory-new) Hidden $9.35 18.7 coins $1.52 3.04 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 02:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.35 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.0% uncommon 7.5% sunny 0.5% Ancient 1.0% industrial 81.0% classified 3.0% #87c7ff 3.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt