---
title: "AUGment case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AUGment ($107.42) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 72.15% over 809 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [AUGment](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · AUGment

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment?window=all)

Price · $107.42 · 215 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $96.68 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.15% · 809 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 41 openings · below min

30 days · 72.15% ±20.48 809 openings

since tracking started · 72.15% ±20.48 809 openings

-0.5% 66.5% 133.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment?window=7d) | 41 | 41.86% ±91.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment) | 809 | 72.15% ±20.5 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/augment?window=all) | 809 | 72.15% ±20.5 | −1.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 809 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,134 6,269 coins | 32.4% | 5 | 8.1 | 0.62× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $528 1,057 coins | 10.9% | 12 | 16.2 | 0.74× |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $290 579 coins | 9.0% | 15 | 24.3 | 0.62× |
| [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $211 421 coins | 6.5% | 26 | 24.3 | 1.07× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $210 420 coins | 6.5% | 16 | 24.3 | 0.66× |
| [Souvenir AUG \| Contractor (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-contractor-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $150 300 coins | 6.2% | 31 | 32.4 | 0.96× |
| [Souvenir AUG \| Storm (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $75.66 151 coins | 3.9% | 44 | 40.5 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $66.39 133 coins | 3.4% | 32 | 40.5 | 0.79× |
| [AUG \| Copperhead (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-copperhead-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $59.47 119 coins | 4.9% | 69 | 64.7 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $52.23 104 coins | 4.3% | 68 | 64.7 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $42.99 85.97 coins | 3.6% | 65 | 64.7 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 10.0% | $28.98 57.96 coins | 3.0% | 89 | 80.9 | 1.10× |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 10.0% | $23.38 46.76 coins | 2.4% | 93 | 80.9 | 1.15× |
| [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 10.0% | $13.05 26.1 coins | 1.3% | 76 | 80.9 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Colony (Factory New) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.90 15.79 coins | 0.8% | 84 | 80.9 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.41 12.81 coins | 0.7% | 84 | 80.9 | 1.04× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 29.18x 2026-11-04 04:14 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 29.18x 2026-11-04 04:09 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 29.18x 2026-11-04 03:34 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 29.18x 2026-11-04 01:04 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $3,134 6,269 coins 29.18x 2026-11-04 00:53 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $107 215 coins $528 1,057 coins 4.92x 2026-11-04 04:15 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $107 215 coins $528 1,057 coins 4.92x 2026-11-04 04:09 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $107 215 coins $528 1,057 coins 4.92x 2026-11-04 04:08 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $107 215 coins $528 1,057 coins 4.92x 2026-11-04 04:02 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $107 215 coins $528 1,057 coins 4.92x 2026-11-04 04:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=augment)

[AUG | Colony (Factory New) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $7.90 15.79 coins 0.07x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC

[AUG | Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $13.05 26.1 coins 0.12x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC

[AUG | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-factory-new) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $107 215 coins $23.38 46.76 coins 0.22x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $28.98 57.96 coins 0.27x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC

[AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $6.41 12.81 coins 0.06x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC

[AUG | Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $13.05 26.1 coins 0.12x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $28.98 57.96 coins 0.27x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $52.23 104 coins 0.49x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC

[AUG | Colony (Factory New) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-factory-new) Hidden $107 215 coins $7.90 15.79 coins 0.07x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC

[AUG | Copperhead (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-copperhead-field-tested) Hidden $107 215 coins $59.47 119 coins 0.55x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $107 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.0% mil spec 23.0% restricted 14.0% Consumer Grade 9.0% Classified 5.0% milspec 8.0% classified 28.0% Consumer 10.0% best hit $3,134 (29.18x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt