---
title: "Aura case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Aura ($1,791.47) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Aura](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Aura

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura?window=all)

Price · $1,791.47 · 3,583 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,612.32 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/aura?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $7,898 15,795 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $7,137 14,274 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $6,222 12,443 coins | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 11 | $2,844 5,688 coins | 15.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $2,340 4,679 coins | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1,884 3,769 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 17 | $1,876 3,752 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 17 | $1,853 3,705 coins | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1,661 3,323 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1,534 3,068 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 17 | $1,258 2,517 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 12.0% | $701 1,401 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 13 | $542 1,085 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $469 939 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $322 644 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $268 536 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=aura)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,791 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 61.0% extraordinary 17.0% legendary 6.0% classified 8.0% covert knife 8.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt