--- title: "Autotronic case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Autotronic ($60.59) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 96.79% over 348 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic rendered: 2026-11-11T16:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Autotronic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Autotronic A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic?window=all) Price · $60.59 · 121 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $54.53 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.79% · 348 openings, odds method Variance · 10.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 121.71% ±46.81 190 openings 7 days · 96.72% ±36.18 318 openings 30 days · 96.79% ±34.59 348 openings since tracking started · 96.79% ±34.59 348 openings 60.0% 114.5% 169.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic?window=24h) | 190 | 121.71% ±46.8 | +1.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic?window=7d) | 318 | 96.72% ±36.2 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic) | 348 | 96.79% ±34.6 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/autotronic?window=all) | 348 | 96.79% ±34.6 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 348 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,750 3,500 coins | 16.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,592 3,184 coins | 14.6% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,331 2,662 coins | 12.2% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× | | [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $677 1,355 coins | 6.2% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $393 787 coins | 7.2% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $256 513 coins | 4.7% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $232 463 coins | 4.2% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.15× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $132 264 coins | 4.8% | 4 | 7.0 | 0.57× | | [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $60.88 122 coins | 2.2% | 3 | 7.0 | 0.43× | | [P90 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-fallout-warning-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $56.06 112 coins | 4.1% | 12 | 13.9 | 0.86× | | [USP-S \| Serum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-factory-new) | 10.0% | $42.01 84.01 coins | 7.7% | 35 | 34.8 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 10.0% | $26.89 53.78 coins | 4.9% | 40 | 34.8 | 1.15× | | [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 15.0% | $15.23 30.46 coins | 4.2% | 54 | 52.2 | 1.03× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 16.0% | $13.79 27.57 coins | 4.0% | 54 | 55.7 | 0.97× | | [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 18.0% | $5.54 11.07 coins | 1.8% | 63 | 62.6 | 1.01× | | [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-factory-new) | 18.0% | $2.70 5.39 coins | 0.9% | 66 | 62.6 | 1.05× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 28.89x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC [★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $1,592 3,184 coins 26.27x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $1,592 3,184 coins 26.27x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [★ Karambit | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $1,592 3,184 coins 26.27x 2026-11-09 09:27 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $1,331 2,662 coins 21.97x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $1,331 2,662 coins 21.97x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $1,331 2,662 coins 21.97x 2026-11-03 01:07 UTC [★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $677 1,355 coins 11.18x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC [★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $677 1,355 coins 11.18x 2026-11-11 15:27 UTC [★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $677 1,355 coins 11.18x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=autotronic) [MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $2.70 5.39 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [P250 | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $15.23 30.46 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $13.79 27.57 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [P250 | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $15.23 30.46 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $13.79 27.57 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [USP-S | Serum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-factory-new) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $42.01 84.01 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $13.79 27.57 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BG2x) $60.59 121 coins $13.79 27.57 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $13.79 27.57 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:30 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) Hidden $60.59 121 coins $13.79 27.57 coins 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $60.59 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.5% covert 19.5% Immortal 3.0% restricted 20.0% industrial 19.0% classified 20.0% Legendary 18.0% best hit $1,750 (28.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt