--- title: "AWP 50-50 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AWP 50-50 ($373.76) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 89.38% over 32 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50 rendered: 2026-11-11T21:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [AWP 50-50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · AWP 50-50 A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50?window=all) Price · $373.76 · 748 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $336.38 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.38% · 32 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 32 openings · below min since tracking started · 32 openings · below min 59.5% 89.3% 119.0% **Small sample.** 32 openings and 11.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50?window=7d) | 32 | 89.38% ±29.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50) | 32 | 89.38% ±29.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-50-50?window=all) | 32 | 89.38% ±29.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $884 1,767 coins | 13.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 15.0% | $657 1,315 coins | 29.3% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 15.0% | $639 1,278 coins | 28.5% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.25× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) | 15.0% | $557 1,113 coins | 24.8% | 8 | 4.8 | 1.67× | | [AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 15.0% | $41.20 82.39 coins | 1.8% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 15.0% | $25.31 50.62 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 4.8 | 0.21× | | [AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 15.0% | $22.21 44.41 coins | 1.0% | 9 | 4.8 | 1.88× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $18.99 37.97 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $657 1,315 coins 1.76x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [BigNIg2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BigNIg2000) $374 748 coins $657 1,315 coins 1.76x 2026-11-10 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $657 1,315 coins 1.76x 2026-11-10 19:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $639 1,278 coins 1.71x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $639 1,278 coins 1.71x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $639 1,278 coins 1.71x 2026-11-10 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $639 1,278 coins 1.71x 2026-11-10 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $639 1,278 coins 1.71x 2026-11-10 19:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $639 1,278 coins 1.71x 2026-11-10 19:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $557 1,113 coins 1.49x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=awp-50-50) [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $657 1,315 coins 1.76x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [AWP | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $22.21 44.41 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [AWP | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $22.21 44.41 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [AWP | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $22.21 44.41 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $41.20 82.39 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [AWP | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $22.21 44.41 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $639 1,278 coins 1.71x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) [BigNIg2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BigNIg2000) $374 748 coins $41.20 82.39 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $639 1,278 coins 1.71x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) Hidden $374 748 coins $41.20 82.39 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 19:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $374 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 35.0% Classified 15.0% classified 45.0% industrial 5.0% best hit $657 (1.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt