--- title: "AWP Juicer case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AWP Juicer ($699.10) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 92.18% over 308 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer rendered: 2026-11-12T01:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [AWP Juicer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · AWP Juicer A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer?window=all) Price · $699.10 · 1,398 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $629.19 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.18% · 308 openings, odds method Variance · 12.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 26.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.09% ±53.87 168 openings 7 days · 92.18% ±39.79 308 openings 30 days · 92.18% ±39.79 308 openings since tracking started · 92.18% ±39.79 308 openings 32.5% 87.0% 141.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer?window=24h) | 168 | 87.09% ±53.9 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer?window=7d) | 308 | 92.18% ±39.8 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer) | 308 | 92.18% ±39.8 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/awp-juicer?window=all) | 308 | 92.18% ±39.8 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 308 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $41.2K 82,490 coins | 13.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $26.7K 53,347 coins | 8.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $24.8K 49,625 coins | 7.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $9,318 18,637 coins | 3.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $4,916 9,833 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 25.0% | $884 1,767 coins | 35.1% | 72 | 77.0 | 0.94× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 25.0% | $371 742 coins | 14.7% | 82 | 77.0 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $290 580 coins | 2.3% | 19 | 15.4 | 1.23× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $259 519 coins | 2.2% | 19 | 16.6 | 1.14× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $236 472 coins | 2.0% | 12 | 16.6 | 0.72× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $223 446 coins | 1.9% | 19 | 16.6 | 1.14× | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $202 404 coins | 1.7% | 14 | 16.6 | 0.84× | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $182 364 coins | 1.6% | 16 | 16.6 | 0.96× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $89.12 178 coins | 0.8% | 16 | 16.6 | 0.96× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $75.06 150 coins | 0.6% | 14 | 16.6 | 0.84× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $65.87 132 coins | 0.6% | 22 | 18.2 | 1.21× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 59.00x 2026-11-11 02:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $26.7K 53,347 coins 38.15x 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $9,318 18,637 coins 13.33x 2026-11-05 21:58 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 02:15 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 02:14 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 02:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=awp-juicer) [AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $65.87 132 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $223 446 coins 0.32x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $89.12 178 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $371 742 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $371 742 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [AWP | BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $259 519 coins 0.37x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $371 742 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $884 1,767 coins 1.26x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $699 1,398 coins $89.12 178 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $699 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 67.5% Classified 5.0% classified 11.3% mil spec 5.4% #d32ee6 5.4% Restricted 5.4% best hit $41.2K (59.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt