--- title: "Bad-ass-chicken 1% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bad-ass-chicken 1% ($19.53) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 1389.16% over 8 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bad-ass-chicken 1%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bad-ass-chicken 1% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1?window=all) Price · $19.53 · 39.05 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 1389.16% · 8 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 2031.0% 4062.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1?window=7d) | 8 | 1389.16% ±2672.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1) | 8 | 1389.16% ±2672.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bad-ass-chicken-1?window=all) | 8 | 1389.16% ±2672.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $19.53 39.05 coins $2,135 4,270 coins 109.4x 2026-11-10 01:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bad-ass-chicken-1) [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $19.53 39.05 coins $4.97 9.94 coins 0.25x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $19.53 39.05 coins $2,135 4,270 coins 109.4x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-field-tested) Hidden $19.53 39.05 coins $4.97 9.93 coins 0.25x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-field-tested) Hidden $19.53 39.05 coins $4.97 9.93 coins 0.25x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-field-tested) Hidden $19.53 39.05 coins $4.97 9.93 coins 0.25x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-field-tested) Hidden $19.53 39.05 coins $4.97 9.93 coins 0.25x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC [AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) Hidden $19.53 39.05 coins $4.99 9.97 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC [P2000 | Grassland Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-leaves-field-tested) [wannagambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/wannagambles) $19.53 39.05 coins $4.99 9.97 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 01:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,135 (109.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 1389.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $1,389.16 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt