---
title: "Battle Flipper case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Battle Flipper ($24.26) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 93.85% over 276 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Battle Flipper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Battle Flipper

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper?window=all)

Price · $24.26 · 48.51 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $21.83 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.85% · 276 openings, odds method

Variance · 10.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 88.84% ±41.35 246 openings

30 days · 93.85% ±39.04 276 openings

since tracking started · 93.85% ±39.04 276 openings

47.0% 90.3% 133.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper?window=7d) | 246 | 88.84% ±41.4 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper) | 276 | 93.85% ±39.0 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-flipper?window=all) | 276 | 93.85% ±39.0 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 276 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,935 3,870 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $612 1,223 coins | 5.6% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Night (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $470 940 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $393 787 coins | 9.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $338 676 coins | 7.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $221 442 coins | 5.1% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.17× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $190 379 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $57.70 115 coins | 2.6% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $28.89 57.77 coins | 6.6% | 12 | 13.8 | 0.87× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-factory-new) | 10.0% | $23.83 47.66 coins | 10.9% | 22 | 27.6 | 0.80× |
| [Tec-9 \| Rust Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-factory-new) | 15.0% | $15.79 31.58 coins | 10.9% | 59 | 41.4 | 1.43× |
| [Tec-9 \| Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) | 15.0% | $12.80 25.6 coins | 8.8% | 41 | 41.4 | 0.99× |
| [Tec-9 \| Blast From the Past (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blast-from-the-past-field-tested) | 15.0% | $7.88 15.75 coins | 5.4% | 32 | 41.4 | 0.77× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 15.0% | $6.37 12.73 coins | 4.4% | 41 | 41.4 | 0.99× |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) | 11.5% | $5.96 11.92 coins | 3.1% | 20 | 31.7 | 0.63× |
| [Tec-9 \| Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.07 10.14 coins | 2.3% | 39 | 27.6 | 1.41× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $612 1,223 coins 25.22x 2026-11-06 06:25 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) [BluntLynx8390](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BluntLynx8390) $24.26 48.51 coins $612 1,223 coins 25.22x 2026-11-04 21:13 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=battle-flipper)

[Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-factory-new) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $15.79 31.58 coins 0.65x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC

[Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $5.07 10.14 coins 0.21x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC

[Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $12.80 25.6 coins 0.53x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC

[Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $24.26 48.51 coins $5.96 11.92 coins 0.25x 2026-11-10 12:46 UTC

[Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $12.80 25.6 coins 0.53x 2026-11-10 08:33 UTC

[Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-factory-new) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $15.79 31.58 coins 0.65x 2026-11-10 08:33 UTC

[Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $28.89 57.77 coins 1.19x 2026-11-10 08:33 UTC

[Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) [DemonDeeeeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DemonDeeeeek) $24.26 48.51 coins $6.37 12.73 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 08:33 UTC

[Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rust-leaf-factory-new) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $15.79 31.58 coins 0.65x 2026-11-10 08:33 UTC

[Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) Hidden $24.26 48.51 coins $6.37 12.73 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 08:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $24.26 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.3% other 0.2% sunny 0.5% covert knife 1.5% classified 20.0% mil spec 10.0% Industrial Grade 30.0% #4b69ff 26.5% Mil Spec 10.0% best hit $612 (25.22x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt