--- title: "Bayo Baby case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bayo Baby ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 111.94% over 2,675 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby rendered: 2026-11-12T04:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bayo Baby](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bayo Baby A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 111.94% · 2,675 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 432 openings · below min 7 days · 108.42% ±39.96 2,305 openings 30 days · 111.94% ±38.27 2,675 openings since tracking started · 111.94% ±38.27 2,675 openings 16.5% 100.0% 183.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby?window=24h) | 432 | 99.93% ±82.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby?window=7d) | 2,305 | 108.42% ±40.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby) | 2,675 | 111.94% ±38.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bayo-baby?window=all) | 2,675 | 111.94% ±38.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-11 21:11 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-10 18:56 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-08 02:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-08 01:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-06 00:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-05 23:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-05 15:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-04 18:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $771 1,543 coins 154.3x 2026-11-04 18:05 UTC [★ Bayonet | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $320 639 coins 63.92x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bayo-baby) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [narkobaron](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/narkobaron) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [narkobaron](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/narkobaron) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $771 (154.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 111.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $111.94 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt