--- title: "Beach Umbrella case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Beach Umbrella ($45.04) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 78.96% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Beach Umbrella](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Beach Umbrella A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella?window=all) Price · $45.04 · 90.08 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $40.53 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.96% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 88.8% 178.0% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella?window=7d) | 16 | 78.96% ±98.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella) | 16 | 78.96% ±98.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella?window=all) | 16 | 78.96% ±98.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $520 1,040 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $510 1,020 coins | 12.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 45 | $236 472 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $227 454 coins | 14.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $186 373 coins | 13.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $117 235 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $73.96 148 coins | 7.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $56.28 113 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $24.31 48.62 coins | 3.0% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $15.17 30.34 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $12.09 24.18 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $11.05 22.1 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) | 11.0% | $3.04 6.08 coins | 0.8% | 5 | 1.8 | 2.84× | | [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 13.0% | $1.53 3.05 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 0.4% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-field-tested) | 17.3% | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=beach-umbrella) [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $24.31 48.62 coins 0.54x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $3.04 6.08 coins 0.07x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $1.53 3.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $3.04 6.08 coins 0.07x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-field-tested) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $227 454 coins 5.04x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.02x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) [Andushka](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Andushka) $45.04 90.08 coins $24.31 48.62 coins 0.54x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-field-tested) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-05 15:44 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) Hidden $45.04 90.08 coins $15.17 30.34 coins 0.34x 2026-11-05 15:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $45.04 | 89.99% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 28.9% epic 1.0% restricted 6.7% classified 14.1% Legendary 6.0% industrial 11.0% #8847ff 15.0% #4b69ff 17.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt