--- title: "Beaky Bundle case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Beaky Bundle ($143.34) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 81.19% over 1,434 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Beaky Bundle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Beaky Bundle A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle?window=all) Price · $143.34 · 287 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $129.00 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.19% · 1,434 openings, odds method Variance · 19.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 50 openings · below min 7 days · 82.18% ±24.04 1,310 openings 30 days · 81.19% ±22.97 1,434 openings since tracking started · 81.19% ±22.97 1,434 openings -0.5% 107.0% 214.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle?window=24h) | 50 | 90.99% ±123.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle?window=7d) | 1,310 | 82.18% ±24.0 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle) | 1,434 | 81.19% ±23.0 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beaky-bundle?window=all) | 1,434 | 81.19% ±23.0 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,434 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Charm \| Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) | 1 in 200 | $5,000 10,000 coins | 19.4% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.12× | | [Sticker \| kNgV- (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 200 | $4,260 8,520 coins | 16.5% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.70× | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $3,592 7,183 coins | 13.9% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.70× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $2,919 5,838 coins | 11.3% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.70× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,730 5,460 coins | 10.6% | 11 | 7.2 | 1.53× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $2,251 4,502 coins | 8.7% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.70× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,805 3,610 coins | 7.0% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.98× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 200 | $1,606 3,212 coins | 6.2% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $1,002 2,005 coins | 3.9% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.98× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $601 1,202 coins | 2.3% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.26× | | [G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 0.1% | 238 | 215.1 | 1.11× | | [M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.06 0.11 coins | 0.0% | 197 | 215.1 | 0.92× | | [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.04 0.09 coins | 0.0% | 215 | 215.1 | 1.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.04 0.07 coins | 0.0% | 207 | 215.1 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 232 | 215.1 | 1.08× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 279 | 286.8 | 0.97× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $143 287 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 34.88x 2026-11-09 15:13 UTC [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $143 287 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 34.88x 2026-11-09 15:08 UTC [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $143 287 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 34.88x 2026-11-08 21:22 UTC [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $143 287 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 34.88x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $143 287 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 34.88x 2026-11-05 12:00 UTC [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $143 287 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 34.88x 2026-11-05 05:10 UTC [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $143 287 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 34.88x 2026-11-04 22:02 UTC [Charm | Chicken Lil' charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-chicken-lil) Hidden $143 287 coins $5,000 10,000 coins 34.88x 2026-11-04 22:01 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $143 287 coins $4,260 8,520 coins 29.72x 2026-11-09 20:22 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $143 287 coins $4,260 8,520 coins 29.72x 2026-11-07 10:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=beaky-bundle) [Glock-18 | Winterized (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-field-tested) Hidden $143 287 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-field-tested) Hidden $143 287 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $143 287 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $143 287 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $143 287 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-field-tested) Hidden $143 287 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $143 287 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) [nigxoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nigxoo) $143 287 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC [★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $143 287 coins $3,592 7,183 coins 25.06x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC [SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-field-tested) Hidden $143 287 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $143 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed uncommon 0.5% extraordinary 0.5% covert 1.5% high 0.5% legendary 0.5% Covert 0.5% gold 0.5% other 0.5% mil spec 30.0% Uncommon 15.0% milspec 15.0% Rare 15.0% #4b69ff 20.0% best hit $5,000 (34.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt