---
title: "Beans Fr case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Beans Fr ($1.99) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.90% from 16 items with odds, observed 89.20% over 452 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Beans Fr](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Beans Fr

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr?window=all)

Price · $1.99 · 3.97 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.90% · EV $1.78 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.20% · 452 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 57 openings · below min

7 days · 89.59% ±14.08 404 openings

30 days · 89.20% ±13.31 452 openings

since tracking started · 89.20% ±13.31 452 openings

39.5% 77.8% 116.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr?window=24h) | 57 | 77.64% ±37.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr?window=7d) | 404 | 89.59% ±14.1 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr) | 452 | 89.20% ±13.3 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beans-fr?window=all) | 452 | 89.20% ±13.3 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 452 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $252 504 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $127 254 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $75.06 150 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir XM1014 \| CaliCamo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-calicamo-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $50.61 101 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $25.16 50.31 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $12.52 25.03 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $7.18 14.36 coins | 20.1% | 19 | 22.6 | 0.84× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5.50 10.99 coins | 15.4% | 23 | 22.6 | 1.02× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.66 7.31 coins | 20.5% | 49 | 45.2 | 1.08× |
| [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.53 5.06 coins | 14.2% | 44 | 45.2 | 0.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.81 3.61 coins | 20.2% | 101 | 90.4 | 1.12× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.34 2.67 coins | 7.5% | 47 | 45.2 | 1.04× |
| [MP9 \| Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.02 0.04 coins | 0.1% | 39 | 45.2 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 41 | 45.2 | 0.91× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-colony-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.1% | 44 | 45.2 | 0.97× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 45 | 45.0 | 1.00× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=beans-fr)

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $1.34 2.67 coins 0.67x 2026-11-10 23:58 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $3.66 7.31 coins 1.84x 2026-11-10 23:58 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $1.34 2.67 coins 0.67x 2026-11-10 23:58 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $3.66 7.31 coins 1.84x 2026-11-10 23:58 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $5.50 10.99 coins 2.77x 2026-11-10 23:58 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) [Cupcake](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Cupcake) $1.99 3.97 coins $1.34 2.67 coins 0.67x 2026-11-10 23:58 UTC

[MP9 | Slide (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:56 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:56 UTC

[MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $2.53 5.06 coins 1.27x 2026-11-10 23:56 UTC

[UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) Hidden $1.99 3.97 coins $1.81 3.61 coins 0.91x 2026-11-10 23:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.99 | 89.90% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.0% restricted 30.0% Restricted 0.0% other 0.0% Rare 0.0% mil spec 10.1% covert 5.0% Legendary 5.0% #8847ff 10.0% consumer 10.0% #4b69ff 19.9% #777777 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.90 on average: an expected loss of $10.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt