---
title: "Beggars Loot case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Beggars Loot ($1.12) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 16 items with odds, observed 84.59% over 6,831 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Beggars Loot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Beggars Loot

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot?window=all)

Price · $1.12 · 2.24 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $1.01 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.59% · 6,831 openings, odds method

Variance · 86.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 87 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 98.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 67.71% ±53.89 1,148 openings

7 days · 82.94% ±25.18 5,258 openings

30 days · 84.59% ±22.09 6,831 openings

since tracking started · 84.59% ±22.09 6,831 openings

13.0% 67.8% 122.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot?window=24h) | 1,148 | 67.71% ±53.9 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot?window=7d) | 5,258 | 82.94% ±25.2 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot) | 6,831 | 84.59% ±22.1 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beggars-loot?window=all) | 6,831 | 84.59% ±22.1 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,831 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,271 2,542 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $264 527 coins | 2.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $252 503 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $59.52 119 coins | 3.0% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $52.99 106 coins | 4.2% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× |
| [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-fall-hazard-well-worn) | 1 in 1,250 | $51.70 103 coins | 4.1% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.46× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $51.12 102 coins | 4.1% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.10× |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $40.22 80.43 coins | 4.0% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 800 | $34.17 68.34 coins | 4.2% | 12 | 8.5 | 1.41× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 800 | $31.27 62.54 coins | 3.9% | 7 | 8.5 | 0.82× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 800 | $30.12 60.24 coins | 3.7% | 13 | 8.5 | 1.52× |
| [SG 553 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $28.33 56.65 coins | 3.7% | 8 | 8.9 | 0.90× |
| [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $25.16 50.31 coins | 3.2% | 8 | 8.9 | 0.90× |
| [Negev \| CaliCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-calicamo-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $5.17 10.33 coins | 0.5% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5.13 10.26 coins | 0.5% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× |
| [MP9 \| Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) | 98.8% | $0.51 1.01 coins | 49.5% | 6,744 | 6745.6 | 1.00× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $264 527 coins 235.4x 2026-11-06 08:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $59.52 119 coins 53.14x 2026-11-07 22:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $59.52 119 coins 53.14x 2026-11-05 09:03 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $59.52 119 coins 53.14x 2026-11-05 08:59 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=beggars-loot)

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1.12 2.24 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.12 | 89.97% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% gold 0.0% Ancient 0.1% restricted 0.2% classified 0.3% extraordinary 0.1% industrial 0.2% #8847ff 0.1% Rare 0.1% mil spec 98.8% best hit $264 (235.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt