--- title: "BG 5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "BG 5% ($15.92) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 108.00% over 232 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5 rendered: 2026-11-12T15:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [BG 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · BG 5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5?window=all) Price · $15.92 · 31.83 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 108.00% · 232 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 80 openings · below min 7 days · 112 openings · below min 30 days · 232 openings · below min since tracking started · 232 openings · below min 28.0% 120.3% 212.5% **Small sample.** 232 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5?window=24h) | 80 | 116.36% ±87.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5?window=7d) | 112 | 129.78% ±82.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5) | 232 | 108.00% ±52.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-5?window=all) | 232 | 108.00% ±52.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bg-5) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins $220 440 coins 13.83x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BG2x) $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $15.92 31.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 108.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $108.00 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt