--- title: "BG Purp case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "BG Purp ($16.79) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 27.17% over 242 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp rendered: 2026-11-11T19:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [BG Purp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · BG Purp A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp?window=all) Price · $16.79 · 33.57 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 27.17% · 242 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 80 openings · below min 7 days · 242 openings · below min 30 days · 242 openings · below min since tracking started · 242 openings · below min 8.0% 51.2% 94.5% **Small sample.** 242 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp?window=24h) | 80 | 51.29% ±42.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp?window=7d) | 242 | 27.17% ±17.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp) | 242 | 27.17% ±17.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bg-purp?window=all) | 242 | 27.17% ±17.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bg-purp) [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BG2x) $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC [Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) Hidden $16.79 33.57 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 27.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $27.17 on average: an expected loss of $72.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt