--- title: "Biggy Tiger case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Biggy Tiger ($1,734.80) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 90.07% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger rendered: 2026-11-11T21:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Biggy Tiger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Biggy Tiger A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger?window=all) Price · $1,734.80 · 3,470 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,561.32 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.07% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 107.3% 215.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger?window=7d) | 12 | 90.07% ±124.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger) | 12 | 90.07% ±124.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/biggy-tiger?window=all) | 12 | 90.07% ±124.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $26.7K 53,347 coins | 17.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $10.4K 20,866 coins | 20.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $7,898 15,795 coins | 15.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| LUCAS1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas1-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 33 | $7,441 14,883 coins | 14.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $6,892 13,784 coins | 13.2% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [Sticker \| captainMo (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 33 | $5,513 11,026 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4,962 9,924 coins | 9.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) | 81.0% | $0.49 0.99 coins | 0.0% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.93× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $6,892 13,784 coins 3.97x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $6,892 13,784 coins 3.97x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $4,962 9,924 coins 2.86x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=biggy-tiger) [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $4,962 9,924 coins 2.86x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) [Sanityy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Sanityy) $1,735 3,470 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $6,892 13,784 coins 3.97x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) [JohnDoe77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/JohnDoe77) $1,735 3,470 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $6,892 13,784 coins 3.97x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1,735 3,470 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,735 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.0% other 3.0% extraordinary 3.0% classified 81.0% best hit $6,892 (3.97x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt