--- title: "bigNGASONLY case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "bigNGASONLY ($346.51) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.40% over 1,142 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [bigNGASONLY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · bigNGASONLY A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly?window=all) Price · $346.51 · 693 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.40% · 1,142 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 84.37% ±22.54 1,102 openings 30 days · 83.40% ±21.80 1,142 openings since tracking started · 83.40% ±21.80 1,142 openings 61.0% 84.3% 107.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly?window=7d) | 1,102 | 84.37% ±22.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly) | 1,142 | 83.40% ±21.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bigngasonly?window=all) | 1,142 | 83.40% ±21.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $347 693 coins $12.1K 24,151 coins 34.85x 2026-11-06 21:25 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) Hidden $347 693 coins $11.7K 23,410 coins 33.78x 2026-11-07 19:51 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $347 693 coins $10.9K 21,888 coins 31.58x 2026-11-06 21:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $347 693 coins $10.6K 21,246 coins 30.66x 2026-11-09 16:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $347 693 coins $10.6K 21,246 coins 30.66x 2026-11-07 19:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $347 693 coins $10.4K 20,866 coins 30.11x 2026-11-06 21:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $347 693 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 28.64x 2026-11-07 19:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $347 693 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 28.64x 2026-11-07 14:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $347 693 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 28.64x 2026-11-06 21:25 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $347 693 coins $9,909 19,817 coins 28.60x 2026-11-05 08:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bigngasonly) [AWP | Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) Hidden $347 693 coins $4,198 8,395 coins 12.11x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) [Nightlights12](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nightlights12) $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) [Nightlights12](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Nightlights12) $347 693 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $12.1K (34.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.40 on average: an expected loss of $16.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt