--- title: "Bless Up case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bless Up ($36.90) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 99.55% over 20 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bless Up](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bless Up A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up?window=all) Price · $36.90 · 73.79 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $33.20 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.55% · 20 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 36.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 52.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 20 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min 69.0% 99.5% 130.0% **Small sample.** 20 openings and 7.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up?window=7d) | 20 | 99.55% ±29.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up) | 20 | 99.55% ±29.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bless-up?window=all) | 20 | 99.55% ±29.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,405 2,810 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $279 558 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $266 531 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 12.0% | $57.97 116 coins | 20.9% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.08× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 12.0% | $57.63 115 coins | 20.8% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) | 12.0% | $57.61 115 coins | 20.8% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-field-tested) | 12.0% | $51.73 103 coins | 18.7% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $29.36 58.71 coins | 6.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× | | [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $29.21 58.42 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $27.98 55.96 coins | 5.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× | | [Nova \| Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.58 1.17 coins | 0.1% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.55 1.09 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.55 1.09 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bless-up) [★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-field-tested) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $51.73 103 coins 1.40x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [FAMAS | Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $57.61 115 coins 1.56x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [MAG-7 | Insomnia (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-field-tested) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [XM1014 | Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-factory-new) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $57.97 116 coins 1.57x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-factory-new) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $57.97 116 coins 1.57x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-factory-new) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $57.97 116 coins 1.57x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [FAMAS | Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) [EliteLynx4233](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteLynx4233) $36.90 73.79 coins $57.61 115 coins 1.56x 2026-11-07 11:15 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $0.55 1.09 coins 0.01x 2026-11-05 22:01 UTC [FAMAS | Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) Hidden $36.90 73.79 coins $57.61 115 coins 1.56x 2026-11-05 22:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $36.90 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% other 0.0% classified 31.0% violet 12.0% extraordinary 12.0% #d32ee6 7.0% industrial 7.0% restricted 10.0% mil spec 5.0% #4b69ff 5.0% milspec 5.0% consumer 6.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt