--- title: "Blitz case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Blitz ($47.81) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 77.08% over 32 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz rendered: 2026-11-11T19:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Blitz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Blitz A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz?window=all) Price · $47.81 · 95.61 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $43.02 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.08% · 32 openings, odds method Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 32 openings · below min since tracking started · 32 openings · below min 11.0% 77.0% 143.0% **Small sample.** 32 openings and 2.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz) | 32 | 77.08% ±65.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blitz?window=all) | 32 | 77.08% ±65.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 1,000 | $740 1,479 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 667 | $631 1,262 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 333 | $571 1,141 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 125 | $411 822 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 63 | $354 708 coins | 13.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $276 552 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $201 401 coins | 14.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $150 300 coins | 12.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $100 201 coins | 9.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $81.27 163 coins | 10.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $52.73 105 coins | 7.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $21.58 43.15 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $21.41 42.82 coins | 1.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $5.04 10.08 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 21.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 0.5% | 7 | 6.7 | 1.04× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 39.0% | $0.55 1.09 coins | 0.5% | 16 | 12.5 | 1.28× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=blitz) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $47.81 | 89.99% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 0.1% covert 8.3% covert knife 10.5% knifes 5.5% extraordinary 6.0% classified 9.6% #8847ff 21.0% restricted 39.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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