---
title: "Blizzard case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Blizzard ($31.86) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 111.39% over 132 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Blizzard](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Blizzard

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard?window=all)

Price · $31.86 · 63.72 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $28.67 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 111.39% · 132 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 16 openings · below min

7 days · 114.44% ±45.24 124 openings

30 days · 111.39% ±43.85 132 openings

since tracking started · 111.39% ±43.85 132 openings

-0.5% 87.3% 175.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard?window=24h) | 16 | 48.20% ±125.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard?window=7d) | 124 | 114.44% ±45.2 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard) | 132 | 111.39% ±43.8 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blizzard?window=all) | 132 | 111.39% ±43.8 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 132 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $986 1,972 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $834 1,669 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $571 1,141 coins | 2.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $568 1,136 coins | 2.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $531 1,062 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $457 914 coins | 8.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $346 693 coins | 18.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $224 447 coins | 15.6% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $148 297 coins | 15.5% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.26× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $66.94 134 coins | 11.7% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $60.28 121 coins | 10.5% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $11.64 23.28 coins | 2.8% | 3 | 9.2 | 0.32× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $7.63 15.26 coins | 2.1% | 14 | 10.6 | 1.33× |
| [Nova \| Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.55 5.09 coins | 0.9% | 17 | 13.2 | 1.29× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 12.0% | $2.01 4.01 coins | 0.8% | 16 | 15.8 | 1.01× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) | 45.5% | $1.08 2.16 coins | 1.7% | 58 | 60.1 | 0.97× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $571 1,141 coins 17.91x 2026-11-09 18:02 UTC

[★ Karambit | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-field-tested) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $31.86 63.72 coins $568 1,136 coins 17.83x 2026-11-09 18:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=blizzard)

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $66.94 134 coins 2.10x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[Nova | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) [Daimendf](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Daimendf) $31.86 63.72 coins $2.55 5.09 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:42 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $31.86 63.72 coins $148 297 coins 4.66x 2026-11-11 18:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $31.86 | 89.99% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.7% covert 8.6% Knives 0.1% Immortal 0.1% covert knife 3.0% Mil Spec Grade 5.0% mil spec 7.0% restricted 53.5% consumer 10.0% #777777 12.0% best hit $571 (17.91x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt