--- title: "Blood Scar case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blood Scar ($53.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 14 items with odds, observed 224.25% over 60 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar rendered: 2026-11-11T22:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Blood Scar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Blood Scar A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar?window=all) Price · $53.00 · 106 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $47.70 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 224.25% · 60 openings, odds method Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 60 openings · below min since tracking started · 60 openings · below min 89.5% 200.0% 310.5% **Small sample.** 60 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar?window=7d) | 24 | 207.84% ±102.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar) | 60 | 224.25% ±64.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blood-scar?window=all) | 60 | 224.25% ±64.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $882 1,765 coins | 18.5% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $744 1,489 coins | 19.5% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $496 991 coins | 15.6% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $211 423 coins | 10.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.48× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $123 246 coins | 7.7% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.22× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $71.51 143 coins | 6.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $68.84 138 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $52.68 105 coins | 4.4% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $47.35 94.7 coins | 4.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $43.58 87.15 coins | 3.7% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $29.05 58.1 coins | 3.0% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $4.00 8 coins | 0.7% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $2.27 4.54 coins | 0.4% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 50.0% | $0.76 1.52 coins | 0.8% | 27 | 30.0 | 0.90× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $882 1,765 coins 16.65x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $882 1,765 coins 16.65x 2026-11-04 16:08 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-factory-new) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $882 1,765 coins 16.65x 2026-11-03 11:47 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $744 1,489 coins 14.04x 2026-11-08 22:22 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $744 1,489 coins 14.04x 2026-11-03 11:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=blood-scar) [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $47.35 94.7 coins 0.89x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-factory-new) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $496 991 coins 9.35x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $53.00 106 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $53.00 | 89.99% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 3.8% covert 65.3% Extraordinary 3.0% extraordinary 8.0% classified 12.0% Rare 8.0% best hit $882 (16.65x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt