--- title: "Bloodline case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bloodline ($1,929.52) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 119.10% over 156 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline rendered: 2026-11-11T18:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bloodline](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bloodline A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline?window=all) Price · $1,929.52 · 3,859 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,736.56 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 119.10% · 156 openings, odds method Variance · 9.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 119.10% ±48.44 156 openings 30 days · 119.10% ±48.44 156 openings since tracking started · 119.10% ±48.44 156 openings -0.5% 134.3% 269.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline?window=24h) | 8 | 54.25% ±213.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline?window=7d) | 156 | 119.10% ±48.4 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline) | 156 | 119.10% ±48.4 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloodline?window=all) | 156 | 119.10% ±48.4 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $72.4K 144,822 coins | 20.8% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $9,925 19,850 coins | 17.1% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.71× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $9,847 19,695 coins | 17.0% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $8,347 16,693 coins | 14.4% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.28× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $8,079 16,159 coins | 14.0% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $7,651 15,302 coins | 13.2% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.28× | | [Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 21.0% | $10.01 20.02 coins | 0.1% | 28 | 32.8 | 0.85× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) | 21.0% | $5.47 10.93 coins | 0.1% | 41 | 32.8 | 1.25× | | [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-field-tested) | 21.0% | $5.02 10.04 coins | 0.1% | 30 | 32.8 | 0.92× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 21.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 31 | 32.8 | 0.95× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $72.4K 144,822 coins 37.53x 2026-11-06 20:13 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $72.4K 144,822 coins 37.53x 2026-11-06 20:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 5.14x 2026-11-06 20:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 5.14x 2026-11-06 20:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) [cherrylea](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/cherrylea) $1,930 3,859 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 5.14x 2026-11-06 20:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 5.14x 2026-11-06 20:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 5.14x 2026-11-06 20:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 5.14x 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 5.14x 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) [ludas00](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/ludas00) $1,930 3,859 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 5.14x 2026-11-05 11:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bloodline) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [G3SG1 | Demeter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-field-tested) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $5.02 10.04 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $5.47 10.93 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $5.47 10.93 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $5.47 10.93 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $5.47 10.93 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $1,930 3,859 coins $8,347 16,693 coins 4.33x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $5.47 10.93 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:36 UTC [Nova | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $1,930 3,859 coins $10.01 20.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 16:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,930 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.5% contraband 0.5% covert 36.0% industrial 21.0% mil spec 21.0% #4b69ff 21.0% best hit $72.4K (37.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt