--- title: "Bloom case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bloom ($30.66) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 14 items with odds, observed 60.31% over 358 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bloom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bloom A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom?window=all) Price · $30.66 · 61.31 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $27.59 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 60.31% · 358 openings, odds method Variance · 18.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 83 openings · below min 7 days · 48.05% ±58.99 200 openings 30 days · 60.31% ±44.09 358 openings since tracking started · 60.31% ±44.09 358 openings -0.5% 70.8% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom?window=24h) | 83 | 49.94% ±91.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom?window=7d) | 200 | 48.05% ±59.0 | −1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom) | 358 | 60.31% ±44.1 | −1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloom?window=all) | 358 | 60.31% ±44.1 | −1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 358 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,321 2,641 coins | 12.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 400 | $1,317 2,634 coins | 11.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $1,316 2,632 coins | 11.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 400 | $1,271 2,542 coins | 11.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $68.02 136 coins | 4.9% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.12× | | [Charm \| Lil' Squatch charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-squatch) | 1 in 33 | $62.00 124 coins | 6.7% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.84× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $59.52 119 coins | 6.5% | 13 | 10.7 | 1.21× | | [MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $58.64 117 coins | 6.4% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.74× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $51.63 103 coins | 5.6% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.30× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $43.89 87.78 coins | 6.4% | 13 | 14.3 | 0.91× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $42.01 84.01 coins | 6.1% | 16 | 14.3 | 1.12× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $30.12 60.24 coins | 5.5% | 21 | 17.9 | 1.17× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $25.31 50.62 coins | 4.6% | 14 | 17.9 | 0.78× | | [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 67.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 241 | 239.9 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins $1,321 2,641 coins 43.08x 2026-11-03 17:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bloom) [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC [Charm | Lil' Squatch charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-squatch) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins $62.00 124 coins 2.02x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins $30.12 60.24 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins $30.12 60.24 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 07:50 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $30.66 61.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $30.66 | 89.99% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% covert 0.5% high 0.3% Classified 5.0% #8847ff 8.0% Ancient 3.0% Mythical 3.0% extraordinary 8.0% classified 5.0% #4b69ff 67.0% best hit $1,321 (43.08x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt