--- title: "Bloop case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bloop ($13.12) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 85.42% over 3,619 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bloop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bloop A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop?window=all) Price · $13.12 · 26.23 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $11.80 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.42% · 3,619 openings, odds method Variance · 36.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 83 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 63.10% ±54.72 465 openings 7 days · 88.58% ±20.30 3,379 openings 30 days · 85.42% ±19.61 3,619 openings since tracking started · 85.42% ±19.61 3,619 openings 7.5% 63.0% 118.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop?window=24h) | 465 | 63.10% ±54.7 | −1.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop?window=7d) | 3,379 | 88.58% ±20.3 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop) | 3,619 | 85.42% ±19.6 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bloop?window=all) | 3,619 | 85.42% ±19.6 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,627 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,031 2,061 coins | 43.7% | 17 | 18.1 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $252 504 coins | 14.9% | 22 | 25.4 | 0.87× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $202 404 coins | 15.4% | 31 | 32.6 | 0.95× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $153 305 coins | 12.9% | 35 | 36.3 | 0.96× | | [Sawed-Off \| First Class (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-first-class-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $26.94 53.88 coins | 4.6% | 87 | 72.5 | 1.20× | | [Nova \| Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $4.07 8.14 coins | 2.1% | 212 | 217.6 | 0.97× | | [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $2.70 5.39 coins | 1.6% | 223 | 253.9 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 27.0% | $1.07 2.13 coins | 2.4% | 985 | 979.3 | 1.01× | | [MP5-SD \| Condition Zero (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-factory-new) | 27.0% | $0.62 1.24 coins | 1.4% | 980 | 979.3 | 1.00× | | [M4A4 \| Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) | 27.9% | $0.41 0.81 coins | 1.0% | 1,035 | 1011.9 | 1.02× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-07 11:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-07 00:55 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-06 21:01 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-06 11:00 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-05 23:04 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-05 23:00 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-05 22:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [cherrylea](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/cherrylea) $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-05 20:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1,031 2,061 coins 78.59x 2026-11-05 19:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bloop) [MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $2.70 5.39 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1.07 2.13 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $13.12 26.23 coins $4.07 8.14 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 11:05 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $0.41 0.81 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $0.62 1.24 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1.07 2.13 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $0.41 0.81 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-condition-zero-factory-new) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $0.62 1.24 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $1.07 2.13 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [M4A4 | Converter (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-converter-field-tested) Hidden $13.12 26.23 coins $0.41 0.81 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $13.12 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 0.5% classified 0.7% covert 1.9% mil spec 2.0% restricted 13.0% Mythical 27.0% Rare 54.9% best hit $1,031 (78.59x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt