--- title: "Botai case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Botai ($119.96) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 76.34% over 1,074 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai rendered: 2026-11-11T18:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Botai](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Botai A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai?window=all) Price · $119.96 · 240 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $107.96 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.34% · 1,074 openings, odds method Variance · 14.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 38.71% ±45.58 262 openings 30 days · 76.34% ±22.51 1,074 openings since tracking started · 76.34% ±22.51 1,074 openings -0.5% 87.3% 175.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai?window=24h) | 34 | 47.83% ±126.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai?window=7d) | 262 | 38.71% ±45.6 | −2.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai) | 1,074 | 76.34% ±22.5 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/botai?window=all) | 1,074 | 76.34% ±22.5 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,074 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100,000 | $52.4K 104,780 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33,333 | $31.6K 63,128 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,079 16,159 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 4,000 | $6,648 13,296 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 4,000 | $6,562 13,124 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $3,722 7,444 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,250 | $3,288 6,576 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,086 6,171 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 263 | $2,694 5,388 coins | 9.5% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.74× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 77 | $1,946 3,893 coins | 23.4% | 15 | 14.0 | 1.07× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 20 | $500 1,000 coins | 23.2% | 49 | 53.7 | 0.91× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $250 500 coins | 13.9% | 66 | 64.4 | 1.02× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $125 250 coins | 9.3% | 92 | 85.9 | 1.07× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 12.0% | $62.54 125 coins | 7.0% | 131 | 128.9 | 1.02× | | [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) | 67.0% | $0.50 1 coins | 0.3% | 718 | 719.6 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $120 240 coins $2,694 5,388 coins 22.46x 2026-11-04 17:05 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $120 240 coins $2,694 5,388 coins 22.46x 2026-11-04 04:16 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $120 240 coins $2,694 5,388 coins 22.46x 2026-11-04 03:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $120 240 coins $1,946 3,893 coins 16.23x 2026-11-04 04:15 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $120 240 coins $1,946 3,893 coins 16.23x 2026-11-04 04:14 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $120 240 coins $1,946 3,893 coins 16.23x 2026-11-04 04:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $120 240 coins $1,946 3,893 coins 16.23x 2026-11-04 03:58 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $120 240 coins $1,946 3,893 coins 16.23x 2026-11-04 03:57 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $120 240 coins $1,946 3,893 coins 16.23x 2026-11-04 03:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $120 240 coins $1,946 3,893 coins 16.23x 2026-11-04 03:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=botai) [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $120 240 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $120 240 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $120 240 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $120 240 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $120 240 coins $62.54 125 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $120 240 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $120 240 coins $250 500 coins 2.08x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $120 240 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $120 240 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) Hidden $120 240 coins $0.50 1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $120 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.0% contraband 0.0% covert 14.0% other 5.0% industrial 6.0% gold 8.0% blue 67.0% best hit $2,694 (22.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt