--- title: "Brae 5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Brae 5% ($48.35) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 113.93% over 422 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Brae 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Brae 5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5?window=all) Price · $48.35 · 96.69 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 113.93% · 422 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 110 openings · below min 7 days · 334 openings · below min 30 days · 422 openings · below min since tracking started · 422 openings · below min -0.5% 108.5% 217.5% **Small sample.** 422 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5?window=24h) | 110 | 105.04% ±111.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5?window=7d) | 334 | 110.99% ±101.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5) | 422 | 113.93% ±91.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/brae-5?window=all) | 422 | 113.93% ±91.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 151.7x 2026-11-06 09:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins $4,425 8,850 coins 91.53x 2026-11-04 19:57 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins $2,656 5,311 coins 54.93x 2026-11-12 01:20 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins $2,656 5,311 coins 54.93x 2026-11-06 09:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins $1,263 2,526 coins 26.13x 2026-11-12 03:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins $701 1,401 coins 14.49x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=brae-5) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [rm20bk](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/rm20bk) $48.35 96.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins $207 414 coins 4.28x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $48.35 96.69 coins $1,263 2,526 coins 26.13x 2026-11-12 03:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,335 (151.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 113.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $113.93 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt