--- title: "Bridges case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bridges ($4.31) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.91% from 9 items with odds, observed 99.10% over 33.8K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges rendered: 2026-11-11T15:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bridges](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bridges A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges?window=all) Price · $4.31 · 8.62 coins Advertised RTP · 89.91% · EV $3.87 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.10% · 33.8K openings, odds method Variance · 100.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 250 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 117.86% ±29.49 4,426 openings 7 days · 96.82% ±11.16 30.9K openings 30 days · 99.10% ±10.67 33.8K openings since tracking started · 99.10% ±10.67 33.8K openings 85.0% 116.5% 148.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges?window=24h) | 4,426 | 117.86% ±29.5 | +1.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges?window=7d) | 30.9K | 96.82% ±11.2 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges) | 33.8K | 99.10% ±10.7 | +1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bridges?window=all) | 33.8K | 99.10% ±10.7 | +1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33.8K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,750 3,500 coins | 13.6% | 17 | 10.1 | 1.68× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $707 1,413 coins | 12.8% | 20 | 23.6 | 0.85× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $434 868 coins | 16.8% | 58 | 50.7 | 1.14× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $245 491 coins | 9.5% | 55 | 50.7 | 1.09× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $217 434 coins | 11.2% | 76 | 67.6 | 1.12× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $123 245 coins | 14.2% | 147 | 152.0 | 0.97× | | [Nova \| Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $96.18 192 coins | 12.4% | 169 | 168.9 | 1.00× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $73.00 146 coins | 9.4% | 148 | 168.9 | 0.88× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 98.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 33,092 | 33089.5 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-11 11:50 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-11 11:34 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-09 08:55 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-09 08:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-09 07:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-08 23:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-08 22:54 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-08 22:43 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins $1,750 3,500 coins 406.1x 2026-11-06 20:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bridges) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $4.31 8.62 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.31 | 89.91% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.6% covert 0.3% knifes 0.1% mil spec 0.5% Mil Spec Grade 0.5% #4b69ff 98.0% best hit $1,750 (406.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.91 on average: an expected loss of $10.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt