--- title: "Bromance case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bromance ($95.63) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 39.86% over 102 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bromance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bromance A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance?window=all) Price · $95.63 · 191 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $86.07 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 39.86% · 102 openings, odds method Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 102 openings · below min 30 days · 102 openings · below min since tracking started · 102 openings · below min -0.5% 81.8% 164.0% **Small sample.** 102 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance?window=24h) | 12 | 14.03% ±149.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance?window=7d) | 102 | 39.86% ±51.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance) | 102 | 39.86% ±51.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bromance?window=all) | 102 | 39.86% ±51.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 102 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,385 2,771 coins | 48.3% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $667 1,334 coins | 9.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 83 | $558 1,117 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 83 | $368 736 coins | 5.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.63× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $297 595 coins | 4.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.63× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 83 | $267 535 coins | 3.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $64.92 130 coins | 6.0% | 5 | 8.2 | 0.61× | | [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $40.64 81.28 coins | 4.2% | 4 | 9.2 | 0.44× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 25.0% | $32.09 64.17 coins | 9.3% | 29 | 25.5 | 1.14× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $6.11 12.21 coins | 0.9% | 17 | 12.2 | 1.39× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $5.26 10.51 coins | 0.5% | 13 | 9.2 | 1.42× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $5.21 10.42 coins | 0.5% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× | | [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.62 1.24 coins | 0.1% | 9 | 9.2 | 0.98× | | [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.05 0.1 coins | 0.0% | 14 | 10.2 | 1.37× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $667 1,334 coins 6.97x 2026-11-10 01:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bromance) [CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-factory-new) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $40.64 81.28 coins 0.42x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $32.09 64.17 coins 0.34x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $6.11 12.21 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $0.62 1.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) [Ravtok](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Ravtok) $95.63 191 coins $0.62 1.24 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $32.09 64.17 coins 0.34x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $6.11 12.21 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-field-tested) Hidden $95.63 191 coins $5.26 10.51 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $95.63 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 3.0% extraordinary 1.2% covert 3.6% #ffd700 1.2% classified 63.0% Legendary 9.0% #8847ff 9.0% #4b69ff 10.0% best hit $667 (6.97x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt