---
title: "Budget Pumper case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Budget Pumper ($1.15) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.81% from 16 items with odds, observed 83.87% over 10.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Budget Pumper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Budget Pumper

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper?window=all)

Price · $1.15 · 2.3 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.81% · EV $1.03 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.87% · 10.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 23.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76.88% ±20.62 2,123 openings

7 days · 81.90% ±10.43 8,304 openings

30 days · 83.87% ±9.31 10.4K openings

since tracking started · 83.87% ±9.31 10.4K openings

55.5% 76.8% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper?window=24h) | 2,123 | 76.88% ±20.6 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper?window=7d) | 8,304 | 81.90% ±10.4 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper) | 10.4K | 83.87% ±9.31 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/budget-pumper?window=all) | 10.4K | 83.87% ±9.31 | −1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $106 212 coins | 20.5% | 22 | 20.8 | 1.06× |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $27.81 55.62 coins | 8.1% | 16 | 31.3 | 0.51× |
| [P90 \| Sunset Lily (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sunset-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $15.13 30.25 coins | 7.3% | 48 | 52.1 | 0.92× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $12.17 24.33 coins | 11.8% | 99 | 104.2 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $11.64 23.28 coins | 11.3% | 95 | 104.2 | 0.91× |
| [MP9 \| Dry Season (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dry-season-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $11.19 22.38 coins | 10.8% | 99 | 104.2 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $10.64 21.27 coins | 10.3% | 88 | 104.2 | 0.84× |
| [Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $10.01 20.02 coins | 9.7% | 108 | 104.2 | 1.04× |
| [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.50 1 coins | 2.4% | 522 | 521.0 | 1.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.25 0.5 coins | 1.2% | 534 | 521.0 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.17 0.35 coins | 1.7% | 1,017 | 1041.9 | 0.98× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-factory-new) | 14.0% | $0.13 0.25 coins | 1.7% | 1,479 | 1458.7 | 1.01× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) | 16.0% | $0.10 0.2 coins | 1.5% | 1,651 | 1667.0 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-factory-new) | 16.0% | $0.05 0.1 coins | 0.8% | 1,687 | 1667.0 | 1.01× |
| [Nova \| Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) | 14.0% | $0.04 0.08 coins | 0.5% | 1,482 | 1458.7 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) | 14.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.3% | 1,472 | 1458.7 | 1.01× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-10 21:25 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-10 21:23 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-09 10:40 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-09 05:59 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-09 01:08 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-08 10:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $106 212 coins 92.09x 2026-11-08 08:00 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=budget-pumper)

[MP7 | Motherboard (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-factory-new) [kinypulse](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kinypulse) $1.15 2.3 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Nova | Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $0.10 0.2 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $0.10 0.2 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $0.10 0.2 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $0.10 0.2 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $0.10 0.2 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) Hidden $1.15 2.3 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[MP7 | Motherboard (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-factory-new) [kinypulse](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kinypulse) $1.15 2.3 coins $0.05 0.1 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.15 | 89.81% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 1.5% industrial 1.5% mil spec 16.0% consumer 15.0% blue 5.0% #4b69ff 15.0% milspec 16.0% #87c7ff 16.0% Common 14.0% best hit $106 (92.09x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.81 on average: an expected loss of $10.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt