--- title: "Bugs Bunny case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bugs Bunny ($182.69) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 79.21% over 3 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny rendered: 2026-11-12T03:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bugs Bunny](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bugs Bunny A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny?window=all) Price · $182.69 · 365 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $164.42 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.21% · 3 openings, odds method Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 3 openings · below min since tracking started · 3 openings · below min -0.5% 183.8% 368.0% **Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny?window=24h) | 3 | 79.21% ±288.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny?window=7d) | 3 | 79.21% ±288.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny) | 3 | 79.21% ±288.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bugs-bunny?window=all) | 3 | 79.21% ±288.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $3,617 7,234 coins | 22.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,441 4,881 coins | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,353 2,706 coins | 16.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $574 1,148 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 50 | $379 759 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $346 693 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $334 668 coins | 4.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) | 88.0% | $50.13 100 coins | 26.8% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bugs-bunny) [Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) Hidden $183 365 coins $50.13 100 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC [AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $183 365 coins $334 668 coins 1.83x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-factory-new) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $183 365 coins $50.13 100 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $183 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% classified 3.0% rare 2.0% Covert 2.0% other 2.0% Industrial Grade 88.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt