--- title: "Bulletstorm case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bulletstorm ($4.49) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 14 items with odds, observed 110.54% over 414 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm rendered: 2026-11-11T15:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bulletstorm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bulletstorm A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm?window=all) Price · $4.49 · 8.98 coins Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $4.04 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 110.54% · 414 openings, odds method Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 120.88% ±19.72 332 openings 30 days · 110.54% ±17.66 414 openings since tracking started · 110.54% ±17.66 414 openings 12.0% 76.8% 141.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.96% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (92.88% – 128.20%, 414 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm?window=24h) | 40 | 69.37% ±56.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm?window=7d) | 332 | 120.88% ±19.7 | +3.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm) | 414 | 110.54% ±17.7 | +2.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm?window=all) | 414 | 110.54% ±17.7 | +2.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 414 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $34.17 68.34 coins | 8.5% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.45× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $33.19 66.38 coins | 8.2% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $24.60 49.19 coins | 9.1% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.97× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $23.44 46.87 coins | 8.7% | 13 | 6.2 | 2.09× | | [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $23.38 46.76 coins | 8.7% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.97× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $22.31 44.61 coins | 8.3% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $22.21 44.41 coins | 8.2% | 10 | 6.2 | 1.61× | | [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $17.64 35.28 coins | 8.7% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.09× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $16.67 33.34 coins | 8.3% | 13 | 8.3 | 1.57× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $13.27 26.54 coins | 7.4% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× | | [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $11.04 22.07 coins | 6.8% | 13 | 10.4 | 1.26× | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $7.07 14.13 coins | 5.2% | 13 | 12.4 | 1.05× | | [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $5.02 10.04 coins | 3.7% | 10 | 12.4 | 0.81× | | [FAMAS \| Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) | 75.8% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 297 | 313.6 | 0.95× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bulletstorm) [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) [OttoW](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/OttoW) $4.49 8.98 coins $7.07 14.13 coins 1.57x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) [OttoW](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/OttoW) $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $4.49 8.98 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.49 | 89.96% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed industrial 1.0% covert 5.5% classified 6.5% mil spec 4.5% Consumer Grade 2.0% Industrial Grade 2.3% restricted 2.5% consumer 75.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt