--- title: "Bumblebee case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bumblebee ($10.02) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 81.92% over 388 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bumblebee](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bumblebee A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee?window=all) Price · $10.02 · 20.04 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $9.02 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.92% · 388 openings, odds method Variance · 7.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 46.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 53.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 68 openings · below min 7 days · 82.92% ±27.03 369 openings 30 days · 81.92% ±26.36 388 openings since tracking started · 81.92% ±26.36 388 openings -0.5% 60.5% 121.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee?window=24h) | 68 | 57.86% ±63.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee?window=7d) | 369 | 82.92% ±27.0 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee) | 388 | 81.92% ±26.4 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bumblebee?window=all) | 388 | 81.92% ±26.4 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 388 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $329 659 coins | 18.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $130 259 coins | 14.4% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 45.0% | $12.93 25.85 coins | 64.5% | 173 | 174.6 | 0.99× | | [R8 Revolver \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.74 1.49 coins | 2.1% | 98 | 97.0 | 1.01× | | [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.38 0.75 coins | 0.3% | 23 | 27.6 | 0.83× | | [PP-Bizon \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.37 0.74 coins | 0.3% | 28 | 27.6 | 1.01× | | [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.21 0.42 coins | 0.2% | 39 | 27.6 | 1.41× | | [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.0% | 22 | 27.6 | 0.80× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bumblebee) [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $0.74 1.49 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $12.93 25.85 coins 1.29x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $0.74 1.49 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $0.74 1.49 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $10.02 20.04 coins $12.93 25.85 coins 1.29x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $12.93 25.85 coins 1.29x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $0.74 1.49 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) Hidden $10.02 20.04 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.02 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 45.5% #d32ee6 1.0% blue 25.0% restricted 7.1% #4b69ff 7.1% Mythical 7.1% milspec 7.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt