--- title: "Butt Juice case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Butt Juice ($18.65) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 112.28% over 284 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice rendered: 2026-11-11T17:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Butt Juice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Butt Juice A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice?window=all) Price · $18.65 · 37.29 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $16.78 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 112.28% · 284 openings, odds method Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 113.96% ±33.12 260 openings 30 days · 112.28% ±31.69 284 openings since tracking started · 112.28% ±31.69 284 openings 50.5% 205.3% 360.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice?window=24h) | 12 | 205.27% ±154.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice?window=7d) | 260 | 113.96% ±33.1 | +1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice) | 284 | 112.28% ±31.7 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/butt-juice?window=all) | 284 | 112.28% ±31.7 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 284 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $223 446 coins | 13.3% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.76× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $221 442 coins | 13.2% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $211 423 coins | 12.6% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $210 420 coins | 12.5% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $201 401 coins | 12.0% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.76× | | [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $152 304 coins | 22.6% | 11 | 7.1 | 1.55× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.03 12.05 coins | 3.6% | 28 | 28.4 | 0.99× | | [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.23 10.45 coins | 3.1% | 28 | 28.4 | 0.99× | | [FAMAS \| Night Borre (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.16 6.32 coins | 2.8% | 40 | 42.6 | 0.94× | | [Nova \| Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2.55 5.09 coins | 2.3% | 49 | 42.6 | 1.15× | | [Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $1.10 2.19 coins | 1.3% | 45 | 56.8 | 0.79× | | [P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) | 22.5% | $0.53 1.06 coins | 0.7% | 66 | 63.9 | 1.03× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=butt-juice) [P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $0.53 1.06 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:42 UTC [FAMAS | Night Borre (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-factory-new) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $3.16 6.32 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 09:42 UTC [P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $0.53 1.06 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:42 UTC [P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $0.53 1.06 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:42 UTC [P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $0.53 1.06 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:42 UTC [Sawed-Off | Serenity (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $1.10 2.19 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 09:42 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $223 446 coins 11.97x 2026-11-11 09:42 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-factory-new) [kruley](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kruley) $18.65 37.29 coins $2.55 5.09 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 09:42 UTC [Sawed-Off | Serenity (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $1.10 2.19 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) Hidden $18.65 37.29 coins $0.53 1.06 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.65 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.0% sunny 1.0% restricted 1.0% covert knife 1.0% milspec 2.5% mil spec 10.0% classified 10.0% consumer 30.0% violet 20.0% Rare 22.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt