--- title: "Bwukn Souvenirs case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bwukn Souvenirs ($1,231.73) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 82.14% over 22 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs rendered: 2026-11-12T04:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Bwukn Souvenirs](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Bwukn Souvenirs A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs?window=all) Price · $1,231.73 · 2,463 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,108.55 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.14% · 22 openings, odds method Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 47.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 52.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 22 openings · below min 30 days · 22 openings · below min since tracking started · 22 openings · below min -0.5% 112.5% 225.5% **Small sample.** 22 openings and 10.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs?window=24h) | 2 | 4.45% ±220.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs?window=7d) | 22 | 82.14% ±66.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs) | 22 | 82.14% ±66.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bwukn-souvenirs?window=all) | 22 | 82.14% ±66.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $112K 223,312 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $41.2K 82,490 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $26.7K 53,347 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $24.8K 49,625 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $7,335 14,669 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $4,916 9,833 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4,761 9,523 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $3,498 6,995 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $2,813 5,625 coins | 2.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 100 | $2,643 5,286 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) | 41.0% | $1,884 3,769 coins | 69.7% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 10.6% | $57.70 115 coins | 0.6% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 10.6% | $57.32 115 coins | 0.5% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.72× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 10.6% | $56.76 114 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 10.6% | $52.31 105 coins | 0.5% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.29× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) | 10.6% | $51.37 103 coins | 0.5% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.86× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $2,813 5,625 coins 2.28x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) [Sanityy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Sanityy) $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=bwukn-souvenirs) [AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $52.31 105 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 03:20 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $57.32 115 coins 0.05x 2026-11-12 03:20 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $57.32 115 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $51.37 103 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) [Sanityy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Sanityy) $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $2,813 5,625 coins 2.28x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $56.76 114 coins 0.05x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,232 2,463 coins $1,884 3,769 coins 1.53x 2026-11-09 15:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,232 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 14.7% contraband 1.0% remarkable 1.0% legendary 41.0% covert knife 10.6% classified 21.1% gold 10.6% best hit $2,813 (2.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt