--- title: "Cache case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cache ($298.42) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 84.74% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache rendered: 2026-11-12T06:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Cache](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Cache A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache?window=all) Price · $298.42 · 597 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $268.57 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.74% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 0.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min 56.0% 84.8% 113.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 6.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache?window=7d) | 6 | 84.74% ±27.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache) | 6 | 84.74% ±27.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cache?window=all) | 6 | 84.74% ±27.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,973 3,946 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $818 1,635 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $653 1,306 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 143 | $506 1,012 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 97.2% | $253 506 coins | 91.5% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.03× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=cache) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $298 597 coins $253 506 coins 0.85x 2026-11-05 07:32 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $298 597 coins $253 506 coins 0.85x 2026-11-05 07:32 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [DemonDeeeeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DemonDeeeeek) $298 597 coins $253 506 coins 0.85x 2026-11-05 07:32 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $298 597 coins $253 506 coins 0.85x 2026-11-05 07:32 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $298 597 coins $253 506 coins 0.85x 2026-11-05 07:32 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [DemonDeeeeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DemonDeeeeek) $298 597 coins $253 506 coins 0.85x 2026-11-05 07:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $298 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.1% other 0.7% rare 97.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt