--- title: "Camo case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Camo ($7.74) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 8 items with odds, observed 108.02% over 320 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo rendered: 2026-11-11T18:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Camo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Camo A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo?window=all) Price · $7.74 · 15.47 coins Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $6.96 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 108.02% · 320 openings, odds method Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 110.46% ±24.80 276 openings 30 days · 108.02% ±23.03 320 openings since tracking started · 108.02% ±23.03 320 openings 84.5% 110.3% 136.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo?window=7d) | 276 | 110.46% ±24.8 | +1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo) | 320 | 108.02% ±23.0 | +1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/camo?window=all) | 320 | 108.02% ±23.0 | +1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 320 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir XM1014 \| CaliCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-calicamo-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $91.19 182 coins | 32.8% | 10 | 8.0 | 1.25× | | [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $57.92 116 coins | 20.8% | 13 | 8.0 | 1.63× | | [XM1014 \| VariCamo Blue (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-varicamo-blue-factory-new) | 10.0% | $10.74 21.48 coins | 15.4% | 32 | 32.0 | 1.00× | | [Negev \| CaliCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-calicamo-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.57 13.14 coins | 9.4% | 33 | 32.0 | 1.03× | | [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-field-tested) | 15.0% | $4.97 9.93 coins | 10.7% | 41 | 48.0 | 0.85× | | [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.36 4.71 coins | 6.8% | 65 | 64.0 | 1.02× | | [Nova \| Ghost Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ghost-camo-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.27 2.53 coins | 3.6% | 65 | 64.0 | 1.02× | | [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.15 0.31 coins | 0.4% | 61 | 64.0 | 0.95× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=camo) [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-field-tested) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $4.97 9.93 coins 0.64x 2026-11-10 11:22 UTC [XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-varicamo-blue-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $10.74 21.48 coins 1.39x 2026-11-10 11:22 UTC [Negev | CaliCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-calicamo-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $6.57 13.14 coins 0.85x 2026-11-10 11:22 UTC [P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $2.36 4.71 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 11:22 UTC [P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $2.36 4.71 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 11:22 UTC [P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $2.36 4.71 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 11:22 UTC [Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ghost-camo-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $1.27 2.53 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 11:22 UTC [XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-varicamo-blue-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $10.74 21.48 coins 1.39x 2026-11-10 11:22 UTC [P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $2.36 4.71 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 11:21 UTC [Negev | CaliCamo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-calicamo-factory-new) Hidden $7.74 15.47 coins $6.57 13.14 coins 0.85x 2026-11-10 11:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.74 | 89.96% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed industrial 30.0% mil spec 30.0% #87c7ff 20.0% Industrial Grade 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt